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An important aspect of how viruses spread and infect is the viral burst size, or the number of new viruses produced by each infected cell. Surprisingly, this value remains poorly characterized for influenza A virus (IAV), commonly known as the flu. In this study, we screened tens of thousands of cells using a microfluidic method called droplet quantitative PCR (dqPCR). The high-throughput capability of dqPCR enabled the measurement of a large population of infected cells producing progeny virus. By measuring the fully assembled and successfully released viruses from these infected cells, we discover that the viral burst sizes for both the seasonal H3N2 and the 2009 pandemic H1N1 strains vary significantly, with H3N2 ranging from 10¹to 10⁴viruses per cell, and H1N1 ranging from 10¹to 10³viruses per cell. Some infected cells produce average numbers of new viruses, while others generate extensive number of viruses. In fact, we find that only 10% of the single-cell infections are responsible for creating a significant portion of all the viruses. This small fraction produced approximately 60% of new viruses for H3N2 and 40% for H1N1. On average, each infected cell of the H3N2 flu strain produced 709 new viruses, whereas for H1N1, each infected cell produced 358 viruses. This novel method reveals insights into the flu virus and can lead to improved strategies for managing and preventing the spread of viruses. 

The scientific community is focused on developing antiviral therapies to mitigate the impacts of the ongoing novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. This will be facilitated by improved understanding of viral dynamics within infected hosts. Here, using a mathematical model in combination with published viral load data, we compare within-host viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with analogous dynamics of MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV. Our quantitative analyses using a mathematical model revealed that the within-host reproduction number at symptom onset of SARS-CoV-2 was statistically significantly larger than that of MERS-CoV and similar to that of SARS-CoV. In addition, the time from symptom onset to the viral load peak for SARS-CoV-2 infection was shorter than those of MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV. These findings suggest the difficulty of controlling SARS-CoV-2 infection by antivirals. We further used the viral dynamics model to predict the efficacy of potential antiviral drugs that have different modes of action. The efficacy was measured by the reduction in the viral load area under the curve (AUC). Our results indicate that therapies that block de novo infection or virus production are likely to be effective if and only if initiated before the viral load peak (which appears 2–3 days after symptom onset), but therapies that promote cytotoxicity of infected cells are likely to have effects with less sensitivity to the timing of treatment initiation. Furthermore, combining a therapy that promotes cytotoxicity and one that blocks de novo infection or virus production synergistically reduces the AUC with early treatment. Our unique modeling approach provides insights into the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 and may be useful for development of antiviral therapies.